climate findings

--text posts are at the blistered orb--

Originally I wanted to scan the lit and post about the "bumpy water interview" with D. Stammer (Hamburg) in Der Spiegel (germ., eng.) -- basically, for current-related and gravitational reasons sea level rise will be uneven; which means that the +2 m/+6.5 f rise we can expect IF the southern ice sheets don't slip is the average. There are (constant, not tidal) bulges & valleys on the sea surface. Florida is at a bulge. But then I saw Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, which contains the papers of last year's Four Degrees and Beyond conference at Oxford. [4 C = 7.5 F] This is important stuff.

THE UNFOLDING CHANGES

M G New et al. ed, four degrees and beyond: the potential for a global temp increase of four degrees and its implications
Phil Trans R Soc A vol. 369 (2011)

M New preface
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 4-5

(here's an initial pic of what to expect; e.g. Africa's collapse)
M New, D Liverman, et al introduction
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 6-19

UNDERSTANDING GLOBAL HEATING

(the +2 C window is now closed, so we might as well get on with it)
K Anderson A Bows beyond 'dangerous' climate change: emission scenarios for a new world
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 20-44

(the orb will likely blister in fifty years' time)
R Betts et al when could global warming reach 4 C?
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 67-84

(population dominates water stress in a +2 world;
climate dominates water stress in a + 4 world)
F Fung et al water availability in +2 C and +4 C worlds
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 117-136

(2 meters--if we're lucky and the ice sheets hold)
R Nichols et al sea-level rise and its possible impacts
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 161-181

(we'll be busier than one-armed coat hangers;
we gotta learn to tango with more negative feedback loops)
R Warren the role of interactions in a world implementing adaptation and mitigation solutions to climate change
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 217-241

MEANS & ISSUES OF MITIGATION

N Bowerman et al implications for policy
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 45-66

CIVIL EVOLUTION

(daunting challenges. severe impacts. urgent research)
P Thornton et al: agriculture in Africa in a 4+ C world
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 117-136

(with a section on cognitive responses to uncertainty)
M Stafford Smith et al rethinking adaptation for a 4+ C world
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 196-216

(deterministic assumptions don't match empirical evidence)
F Gemenne population displacements in a 4+ C world
Phil Trans R Soc A 369 (2011): 196-216

(global action is not going to stop climate change.
The world needs to look harder at how to live with it.)
[briefings]: facing the consequences--adapting to climate change
The Economist (Nov 27-Dec 3 1010) 85-88

(it won't be stopped but its effects can be made less bad)
[leader]: how to live with climate change
The Economist (Nov 27-Dec 3 1010) 15

NOTE THIS QUOTE

The climategate e-mails led to three inquiries in the United Kingdom. All of them were flawed in different ways. None of them, though, gave credence to the idea that "science and numbers were manipulated."

from Babbage, green view: the shadow of climategate
The Economist online (Nov 28 2010)

CLIMATE NEOLOGISM

"climate pariah"

... as in: "But the US, the world's biggest historical polluter and long isolated as a climate pariah, had something to cling to."
Coined by Damian Carrington in WikiLeaks cables reveal how US manipulated climate accord in The Guardian 12.5.